What Does Fold Equity Mean? The profitability of any bet is determined by combining your calculated fold equity with your pot equity (the percentage likelihood of winning the pot with your hand at that moment. It might seem weak to fold preflop, but we have a hand that likely is not ahead of our opponent's range and thus likely also has little ability to create fold equity. Fold Equity takes the “equity” concept a step further and refers to the amount of equity a player gains in the hand from betting or raising and making their opponent fold. ). yes. The “Resteal” and “Call Steal” rows are used if an opponent has open-raised from the CO or BTN. $1/$2 Multiway Pots. In SplitSuit’s video “ Simple Squeezes ” he introduced and used a powerful spreadsheet that he created. Key points. And he certainly isn't going to fold a better hand. And I don’t think I’ve ever seen a bomb pot not get to showdown so I wouldn’t give yourself a ton of fold equity. For me, a 17xBB stack shove range from the cutoff on a min raise from a huge stack table captain is a whole heck of a lot wider than a pair of tens. You are assuming that (i) the guy with TT doesn't 3bet, which can absolutely happen, and that (ii) Ruane plans on check. At SPR 3, you would need $300/$700 = 43% equity to call a $300 bet. It’s that simple! Let’s look at an example to calculate the poker equity using the rule of 4 and 2. In theoretical terms, fold equity in poker is the additional equity you gain by having your opponent fold their cards some percentage of the time. Let Pot be the pot before hero makes a bet of Bet with equity Eq. In a nutshell, though, it is the. Liked by: 08-12-2023, 01:49 AM Same_again. This is an issue of equity, health, and justice. 252K subscribers in the poker community. The most common place for a straddle to happen is to the left of the big blind and is often double the size of the big blind. His huge fold equity is much more relevant and also why it's a low variance play imo. Remember that capitalising on fold equity to steal blinds was one of the primary reasons for open-raising. Even some of the basic information in an educational poker program is helpful, such as the ability to see chip stacks in big blinds instead of larger numbers. Slowly making my way through all the free online information and the Grinder’s manual and playing live $1/2 when…I should fold a lot more from SB. 12% equity when you jam. Biggest poker site with industry-leading software and a huge range of games GT Bonuses. A lot of plus players in NL think that you should always pre-flop with a raise. Fold Equity takes the “equity” concept a step further and refers to the amount of equity a player gains in the hand from betting or raising and making their opponent fold. This hand in a vacuum is a fold. She flinches and pricks her finger with the needle. Tip #2: Avoid Slow-Playing Trips or Two-Pair. Vs. This causes us to simultaneously realize more equity and deny our opponents’ hands equity. As with anything in poker, adjusting versus aggressive players in position is a lot easier than adjusting out of position. Fold equity - factorii pe care trebuie să îi iei în calcul. Fold equity is simply a function of the game, since players rarely continue from street-to-street with 100% of their hands. The average poker player has a 4bet range of closer to. Remember to use fold equity concepts against players who understand poker. 25x the big blind. ) All of a sudden you have a pair of eights and, well, showdown value. When there is a high likelihood of you being called, you're better off betting made hands than making bluffs. Things like fold equity and maybe even game flow (if useful for exploitation) emerge naturally from deep learning Like I said, making a balanced poker bot is straightforward. 20 votes, 24 comments. Players who limp like to see flops. With no chance of winning the pot at showdown, you have to rely on fold equity to determine whether or not you should bluff the river. 66 = $97. (pot $400) The first line of The EV. ago. Fold equity is nothing but the share of the pot that belongs to you, on the basis of the chances of your hand winning. If an opposing player folds, you’ll win the pot uncontested. 9 table seat. Tip #2 – Never slow play trips or two pair. Hero next used his newfound fold equity to get a number of shoves through, then later found another miracle at the 25,000/50,000 level when he shoved Q-7-offsuit from the button and managed to. Solvers often fold hands with more than enough raw equity and call hands without sufficient equity. It is the added equity you gain when you believe that there is a possibility of your opponent folding his hand. Folding when you have a chance of winning at showdown The greater your chance of winning, the more your hand suffers from folding its equity. Fold equity. Tonight is my live cash debut. 4. Effective stacks are ~$1. Equity denial is a concept I have been talking about for several years that has finally come to the forefront of poker thinking. Many more concepts are involved like ranges and fold equity that can make the EV calculations much more difficult. or just $240 (the pot) Smaller bet sizes on wet boards are ineffective, as they let your opponent(s) realize their equity too easily. In Poker Satellite Strategy professional poker player Dara O’Kearney gives you a framework for how to approach. You can always start off. If he folds more than 38% of the time, this bet is outright +EV. The flip side of this is that your c-bet will elicit a fold a large percentage of the time. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. 68. As an example, let’s suppose Player 1 had. 3. So, when we are on the flop waiting for the turn, we have 36% equity. Although solver outputs can look quite different with shallower stacks, the same principles apply: strong hands grow the pot 📈 medium strength hands pot control, weak hands bluff or give up, and draws navigate between fold equity and equity realization. 80 Pot Limit Omaha Hi Tournament - t1250/t2500 Blinds - 6 players - View hand 1816291 The Reddit Poker Converter - Poker Videos by DeucesCracked. Whether it’s a single raised pot or a 3-bet pot, the player who is in position has a significant advantage in the hand. 3. If you do face one or more limpers, in general you can expect to have very little fold equity. Know Your Pot Odds. For this example, we will assume that Villain 3-bets 50% of the time with orange/red hands, and folds all the pink hands. Fold Equity = % of Your Opponent Folding X Opponent’s Hand Equity. Simply use the FE calc to see how many folds you. On coordinated boards, our bluffing success will be low. Final Table Bubble. Eureka we have found the answer, fold equity is -79%. Let’s look at an example to calculate fold equity. Fold, chances are someone has at least one of your outs, chances that if you shove at best it is a coin flip (if you are able to isolate only one caller) and at worst your are crushed, also blinds are 1k/2K, if everyone folded to you, you shove, otherwise this is a fold in this particular spot. Calculating equity is something that you will use all the time when you’re playing poker games online, with friends or in a land-based casino. With this hand you should have around 40% equity against most villian holdings 3 bet holdings. 5 * 0. The P (losing) must then equal 100% - 50% = 50% or 0. You want to get value out of your good hands. A significant portion of our value range is comprised of hands that have ~60%. A good beginner strategy for a balanced check-raise is to occasionally check-raise some medium-strength draws that can continue putting aggression on future streets depending on the turn and river cards. Checking and calling inherently offer no fold equity, because your opponent will not fold to those actions. 4 = 40%. How much fold equity do I need? I can win at showdown 10% at best. Plus, we don’t get any fold equity, have poor pot odds, and have to play out of position against the 3-bettor. Red Chip Poker is a team of poker authors and coaches looking to improve your game. That doesn’t count the combos where the Ace is suited and already ahead. That is vs. This is because standard equity calculations assume the pot gets checked down, disregarding equity realization, position, implied odds, range advantage, and other postflop factors that affect your hand’s actual value. A term referring specifically to the amount of equity a player gains from likelihood of an opponent folding to a bet. Fold equity: Fold equity is simple; your raise tells the other players that you have a strong hand. Our guiding light in these situations is the pot odds – or what price the pot is laying us to make this call. To better understand fold equity, check out our detailed fold equity guide. He said to have equity of R $ 2,9 millions. Strong draws will have lots of pot equity, so fold equity won’t be so much of an issue (in other words, weaker draws ere more towards a bluff and stronger draws ere more towards a value bet). You would need to fire like 20 BB to get them down to 2. Application of fold equity – tournament situation. So, if Villian were bluffing, this bet would have to force a fold at least 33% of the time to make a profit––Hero has to call more often than that to prevent. Dar, judecând după o serie de variabile, posibilitatea ca adversarul să foldeze te aduce în pole-position să câştigi respectivul pot. Sauce's Guide to Beating NLH 6max This is really a nod to the beautiful simplicity that was IlikeAces guide. For a more in-depth and complete strategy on fold equity, check out the 888poker article: How Poker Equity Can Make Your Game InvincibleWell, knowing that the chances of hitting the gutshot are just 8. Sie werden mit solchen Bluffs nicht jeden Pot gewinnen. Weak draws won’t have a lot of pot equity, so you will need more fold equity to make them profitable. Equity-wise, it’s an underdog against premium pocket pairs like Aces or Kings, and is dominated by stronger Ax holdings like Ace-King or Ace-Queen. You think that A-9, A-7 and A-6 will call, and A-5, A-4 and A-2 will fold. Seems to be calling a bit too wide in spots with top pair and draws. R/Poker is currently in…I don’t think so. Your Hand: 3♦ 4♦. However, your original loan that you took when home prices were higher is still in place, and you owe your lender $134,000. If you watched a lot of poker on TV during the poker boom, you would have heard the word “reraise” a lot in the commentary (and even from the players themselves when. Because seat 1 is short they will most likely call off the rest of their stack to a 3 bet of that sizeThis time we decide to go for an overbet to get maximum fold equity with our Ace-high flush draw. A steal is an open raise from the CO, BTN, or SB regardless of hand strength. You may have some fold equity against a hand such as AQ, which you’d be delighted to fold out. Betting for value. It is understandable why he would be enticed by cold-calling, though, because: The pot odds are not horrendous (needing around 38% realized equity)If you have decent fold equity now, definitely take the shove, and that way later, you can fold a hand later like ace-five with your slightly bigger stack, to avoid getting in crushed, or you can. You get so much fold equity by shoving. Fold equity is displayed as a percentage, although it also has a monetary value attached to it. e. Klein's hand is super vulnerable. If the Button was a weak player who would fold too often against 3-bets, this could be a reasonable exploitative play. Elle s'évalue mais ne se calcule pas précisément. Suppose you’re playing $1/$2 no-limit hold’em and make it $7 from the button. Posted by u/onlyNLHE - 1 vote and 7 commentsThey want to max fold equity. This means you. R/Poker is currently…235K subscribers in the poker community. Sizing Raises and. If he folds more than 38% of the time, this bet is outright +EV. And he certainly isn't going to fold a better hand. 3409 x $252 = $85. When someone limps before us, our fold equity decreases so it is only natural that the bottom of our stealing range from late position becomes a fold when others have already entered the pot. The place: an opulent riverboat heading up the Mississippi from New Orleans to St. i dont think id have realized that ingame either tbh but it makes sense, he mostly folds underpairs otf. . You have a stack of 1,800 and everyone has you covered. Exploiting. As you can see, our edge here is very small, but we should still make this. upswingpoker. 1. Question 1: Should you fold, call, three-bet to 3,800, or three-bet to 6,200? Answer: Both calling and three-betting are fine options, with your decison depending on how you think your opponents. CryptoFold equity refers to the value that a hand has simply by betting or raising such that all opposing hands, including better hands, may fold. It's not massively -EV either. For example, if the player in the BB is very short-stacked, he will be calling a lot, so your fold equity will diminish, meaning you should play tighter ranges and mostly shove value hands. I highly doubt he thinks that Rigby has 2 undercards. You're maximizing fold equity, and commiting to a flip where you have a decent chance of scooping with AK. We extract value when the 3-bettor calls the 4-bet with weaker hands. The blinds are 150/300. For example, if the pot is $100 and you think there is a 35% chance your opponent folds to a bet, you have 35% fold equity worth $35. Equity dictates you fold, because now you are a 2 to 1 underdog to win the hand, and with having to pay 9,000 to win 16,500, the pot is not offering you 2 to 1 odds. . 67 into 5. However, BU does not want to make big bets. 51%, the player must fold. But once you reach the river, things change. Fold Equity. 3. particularly because it can get 33 to fold and it doesn't matter to fold equity if 33 can or not. For example, if we hold three out of five flush cards with the turn and the river remaining. It is the added equity you gain when you believe that there is a possibility of your opponent folding his hand. I suggest looking at some preflop charts. 35 * $1,000) + (0. Solid smug guy 3bets $25 from HJ. Fold equity is a crucial element of poker strategy that allows you to estimate the probability of your opponent folding their hand. Contra un rango del 10% tienes una equity del 53%. ENROLL FOR JUST $5. There were still 240 big blinds back on the turn and nearly 160 in the pot, meaning that if he. . The fold equity equation is a simple calculation that involves two main components: the likelihood your opponent folds and the potential gain in equity if they do fold. Learn how to capitalize on that table image in future hands and boom, you’re a 2/5 crusher. 8-to-1 underdog, meaning calling is a losing play. You want to have the right risk-reward ratio and the right fold equity. Fold Equity Definition. A hand like AQo will play poorly in the multiway pot, but in a heads-up 3-bet pot it will retain much of its equity with less reverse implied odds. This guide will walk you through the concept of fold equity, explain the formula, provide step-by-step examples, and answer common questions to help you become a more formidable poker player. You check, and the Button c-bets about 33% of the pot. A SnG (sit n go) or STT (single table tournament) is a poker tournament that takes place over a short period of time and is usually played on only one table. Next, we'll often miss the flop and have the decision of whether we want to c-bet or not. They have a lot of potential to turn into winning hands, and you benefit from the added fold equity of playing these hands aggressively. Picking up that equity makes playing later streets much easier, as we gain the ability to bet, raise or call down. If he played it normally, opened to 2m and saw a flop, he wouldn't have been eliminated on the run out. GTOWizard helps you to learn GTO and analyze your game. Using Fold Equity in Poker Tournaments. Luxemburgh • 6 mo. You must understand fold equity and have a hud (mostly to calculate fold equity) to use ICM effectively. The year: 1855. Odds are available for: Texas Holdem, Omaha , Omaha Hi-Lo, 7-Card Stud, 7-Card Stud Hi-Lo and Razz. Four Bet. There is a huge difference between a raw Flush Draw or OESD and one with added equity in the form of a combo draw. Another way we might be entitled to more of the pot than our equity suggests is by leveraging fold equity on the river, when Villain was barrelling the turn as a bluff and then check/folds. com Fold equity refers to your chances of causing your opponent to fold. Small take for a minute then makes the call, others fold. Let’s plug that into the MDF formula: $75 / ($75 + $37. When the blinds/antes are a big portion of your stack, you’ve got to do all you can to collect them. That combined with some added fold equity makes AQo a good candidate for a bluff squeeze. by Kat Martin. That’s a fancy way of saying it gives you an extra chance at winning: if they get scared and fold, congratulations!Open menu Open navigation Go to Reddit Home. Plus, A5s plays fine post-flop. CryptoIf you've fallen to the lower end and closer to 15 big blinds, it's time to start thing about adopting the shove-or-fold strategy discussed prior, but still look for good spots to three-bet shove. And maybe, when you really work out the range for a called 3-bet, check call. This is especially true when you have position on your opponent. Yet the solver is over-folding, almost half it’s range!You have little to no fold equity because it's only 100 more for the button; two players have already showed their interest, one of them even raised the flop against five players, none of whom had folded yet. Business, Economics, and Finance. Backdoor Equity: Backdoor is a term used in poker when players need two more cards to make a hand. Fold equity is a more elusory concept because we can’t truly know how often our opponent will fold. With more players in the pot, your fold equity diminishes and you will be called more often. UTG raises to 3bb. Phần trăm khả năng mà đối thủ của bạn sẽ fold dựa trên hiểu biết của bạn về đối thủ. Gillian Foster. If you are looking for a free poker equity calculator, launch the PokerNews one and use it to recreate any scenarios you lived at the. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. Because of ICM, you have more fold equity in satellites as other players are also playing tighter, so they’re less likely to call all-ins and more likely to have a stronger hand when they do. Re-raising gives you “fold equity”. As you can see, our edge here is very small, but we should still make this call. 5. In this same manner, poker bluffing and/or semi-bluffing can be profitable in certain instances: the additional equity a player gains in a hand by using fold equity. One consequence of this is that our 3-bet likely has very little fold equity. Some may even have had us dominated, such as when they fold Q♣6 ♦, etc. A small flop c-bet keeps the stack-to-pot ratio (SPR) at a size that allows you to barrel three streets for a size that will generate good fold equity. 在鬆桌，玩家沒有蓋牌鍵的時候，你怎麼加，pre-flop他們沒有fold equity，AK翻前的領先變得沒有用了，除非pre-flop/post-flop all-in給最大壓力. That's not guaranteed at all. Game dynamics changes the fold equity relative to the ratio of big blinds risked. He can only win the hand one way: having the best hand hold up. If you force the BB to fold preflop with a big raise, you will force the player to surrender his/her equity. The XR bluffs are hands like 52 ♠ with a gutshot and backdoor flush draw. Try it for free at solutions • Practice GTO • Analyze hand history Timecod. In smaller SPR pots you can use a fold equity calculator and Equilab to see how often a player would need to fold versus your shoves…and you can go a step further and use Flopzilla to estimate how often a player actually hits. The antes make it impractical to fold out many of the hands that a 3x raise might fold out in a cash game. Moreover, consider his equity when called. Against the overpairs through he has 33 percent equity, 10 outs twice. Analyze the results. Anybody who "might" fold to a 20% pot river bet will definitely fold to a 70% pot river bet though. It equates to: The first half of the formula can be estimated based on reads on opponents or their previous actions. Folding a hand with one out on the river doesn’t cost you much, as you probably weren’t going to win anyway. Based on the standard EV equation for a bet, we find: FE >= (Bet -X)/ (Pot + Bet -X) where X = Eq* (Pot + 2*Bet) 3. A fold equity calculator is a powerful tool that you can use to see how often your opponent must fold when you are shoving your stack. We gain 40% equity by betting this hand and getting our opponent to fold half of the time. e. Don’t Pay People Off. What changes is the composition of these classes and the relative importance of. 5. Fold equity = 0. Business, Economics, and Finance. American Hartford Gold. For example, a pair of aces has over 80% pot equity vs a lower pocket pair if they go all in. In fact, the general advice is that if it’s profitable to limp, it will be even more profitable to raise. It goes raise, re-raise, three-bet, four-bet. If V is folding, say, 40% of his opening range to a 3-bet, that fold equity doesn't change if you 3-bet 64s, 87o, or A2s. One important advantage of using HRC for creating push-fold ranges is that it is fast, and allows a simple incorporation of the “ICM effects” mentioned above. There's a free poker equity calculator here on PokerNews. Out of position bet small in order to set a cheaper price in which to draw, somewhere in the neighborhood of 1/3 to 1/2 pot. Plugging into the equity calculator a fairly tight shoving range of pocket pairs starting with and big cards down to -suited, that puts me around a 1. 100bb Effective Stacks. Note: Want to upgrade your poker skills? Get free preflop charts here and start playing like a pro before the flop. Nevertheless, you can still do it by keeping up your play and thinking about the game away from the tables. Fold equity: Fold equity is simple; your raise tells the other players that you have a strong hand. You could also add “3bet bluffs’ to your range to “balance” this out and not be so predictable. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. Fold equity is an advanced concept that allows players to get value from both potential folds as well as potential showdowns. Flop :8c :9h :Th ($240) Vs a SB range of 22-JJ, Aqo+, AJs, KQs we have about 35% equity on the flop. One final nail in the coffin for suited connectors at this stack depth is the reduced fold equity postflop, which is a result of more hands becoming committed to the pot. We don't have sufficient overall fold equity for a continuation bet bluff to be immediately profitable. There are just too few turns. ). 3 Are folding (0% equity) That means they have roughly ((12*. Why would you play top pair for fold equity with draws present? Your argument works better for hands without showdown value. If you’re playing at a 9-handed table, you should fold it from the two earliest positions (UTG and UTG+1 in the graphic below). Contra un rango del 10% tienes una equity del 53%. MP calls. and analyzed by Doug in the private Upswing Lab group: Online Cash 6-Handed. 에퀴티 (Equity) 현재 팟에서 자신의 수학적 기대값으로, 팟에 있는 금액에 자신의 이길 확률을 곱하여 계산합니다. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. But if a very competent reg asks this question you have to take it with a. GTOWizard helps you to learn GTO and analyze your game. For example, 8 ♥ 7 ♥ is a great bluffing hand on a K♣ Q♣ 6 ♥ flop. Test your hypothesis. Cal Lightman. The opponent checks, and it’s your turn to act. The flop comes K♠ 8♦ 6♣. Spot #1 Example. CryptoIn FL we have way less fold-equity on final-street and way less implied-odds vs bad opponents when we hit. Has been waiting for…For example, the draws came on the flop, so if someone wants to max out fold equity, they might have check raised on the flop rather than the turn. . We will lose $500 most of the time but will win $1,000 just often enough to make the call profitable. Unfortunately it feels like a fold for a couple of reasons. The amount of equity a player gains from their opponent folding when they make a bluff. A key element to this is understanding fold equity and how it works. This is an issue of equity, health, and justice. If you get 4-bet, shove the hands in bold, Fold the rest. Outright Profitable Bluffing. This will help you determine the frequency you should bluff. After all, the more players who fold during the round. The effectiveness of the second barrel into an overcard of the turn on 9T7s and T62r boards will vary greatly. If you are peeling KQs you are going to be dominated by all combos of AK. New treatment. In late position, you can open it up a great deal, but if there. 5. But should you bet it? No. We purposefully use the word “outright” since there are plenty of times in poker where a single bet may be outright +EV or -EV, but in the context. 65 * -$500) = $350 – $325 = $25. SB calls and all else fold and we go to the flop HU. Villain must call Bet or fold. But Linus is an extremely strong player, so this is likely a major mistake by Berri. Elizabeth Skillen. We generate fold equity preflop; We still have very good equity when called, even if we end up being a small dog; Most players do not punish us anywhere close to enough with 4bets; To illustrate this last point, an expert winning short-handed player will typically have a 4bet range of 4-5%. Using SPR Example. Just to clarify, we aren't looking at calling off with pocket pairs and suited aces, having some fold equity is key to making your bluff a profitable move as we will see later. Fold Equity: If you believe that your opponent has a weak hand and will likely fold if you are aggressive, then a semi-bluff can be a great move. R/Poker is currently…Open menu Open navigation Go to Reddit Home. Nevertheless, you can still do it by keeping up your play and thinking about the game away from the tables. This hand is from 2NL online, playing four-handed. Tip #4: When they check back, attack on the turn and follow through on the riverThe best way for small stakes poker players to earn life-changing amounts of money is to win a satellite into a bigger tournament. You still need to 3bet T9s and stuff like that at some frequency since you need board coverage, but the frequency becomes lower and. 73)+(1*. a standard opening size of 2. Fold equity is displayed as a percentage, although it also has a monetary value attached to it. Fold Equity = Chance of your opponent folding x your hand equity. Demonstration of fold equity strategy – A situational example. However, if you bet or. The bulk of your equity in the pot is no longer fold equity because you have a pair. How to Calculate Fold Equity in Poker? Fold Equity = % of Your Opponent Folding X Opponent’s Hand Equity. So whereas the ultimate test for Go is defeating the top Go champions in the world, because Go is a supremely balanced game, I think the ultimate test for no-limit poker. This means if villain will fold 38% of the time, this bet is breakeven. Enroll and jump into your first lesson now ♥. In such situations, it is better to prioritize. So either our 3-bet is going to get called and we’re playing the hand out of position, or worse we may face a 4-bet from a player marked with a strong range. We calculate this a little differently than poker equity, factoring in the likelihood that the. I yell at my Mom to hurry up as she tries to recreate the pokerstars Team Pro patch on my Run It Once hoodie. 250K subscribers in the poker community. Against competent regs, it’s usually better to polarize your 3-betting range from the big blind and use a 3-bet or fold strategy from the small blind. We show the formula for finding the required fold equity for +EV when hero bets and villain either calls or folds. A fold technically isn't 'wrong' here, a flat just doesn't work at all. [1] What is Fold Equity? Fold equity is the probability that a player will fold versus a bet or raise. You gain EV from folding worse hands that can outdraw you, however, you also gain EV when worse hands call you. In such situations, it is better to prioritize using semi-bluffs rather than relying on bare Fold-Equity. Flush draws make for great semi-bluffing hands on flops and turns. If you are getting great pot odds you will end up calling more often. Limping. You. The P (losing) must then equal 100% - 50% = 50% or 0. 푸시 (Push) 올인 베팅하는.